Neurologic Improvement in Acute Cerebral Ischemia: Frequency, Magnitude, Predictors, and Clinical Outcomes.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Investigations of rapid neurologic improvement (RNI) in patients with acute cerebral ischemia (ACI) have focused on RNI occurring after hospital arrival. However, with stroke routing decisions and interventions increasingly migrating to the prehospital setting, there is a need to delineate the frequency, magnitude, predictors, and clinical outcomes of patients with ACI with ultra-early RNI (U-RNI) in the prehospital and early postarrival period. METHODS: We analyzed prospectively collected data of the prehospital Field Administration of Stroke Therapy-Magnesium (FAST-MAG) randomized clinical trial. Any U-RNI was defined as improvement by 2 or more points on the Los Angeles Motor Scale (LAMS) score between the prehospital and early post-emergency department (ED) arrival examinations and classified as moderate (2-3 point) or dramatic (4-5 point) improvement. Outcome measures included excellent recovery (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score 0-1) and death by 90 days. RESULTS: Among the 1,245 patients with ACI, the mean age was 70.9 years (SD 13.2); 45% were women; the median prehospital LAMS was 4 (interquartile range [IQR] 3-5); the median last known well to ED-LAMS time was 59 minutes (IQR 46-80 minutes), and the median prehospital LAMS to ED-LAMS time was 33 minutes (IQR 28-39 minutes). Overall, any U-RNI occurred in 31%, moderate U-RNI in 23%, and dramatic U-RNI in 8%. Any U-RNI was associated with improved outcomes, including excellent recovery (mRS score 0-1) at 90 days 65.1% (246/378) vs 35.4% (302/852), p < 0.0001; decreased mortality by 90 days 3.7% (14/378) vs 16.4% (140/852), p < 0.0001; decreased symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage 1.6% (6/384) vs 4.6% (40/861), p = 0.0112; and increased likelihood of being discharged home 56.8% (218/384) vs 30.2% (260/861), p < 0.0001. DISCUSSION: U-RNI occurs in nearly 1 in 3 ambulance-transported patients with ACI and is associated with excellent recovery and decreased mortality at 90 days. Accounting for U-RNI may be useful for routing decisions and future prehospital interventions. TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION: clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00059332.

MRI-AST (MAST) Score Accurately Predicts Major Adverse Liver Outcome, Hepatocellular Carcinoma, Liver Transplant, and Liver-Related Death.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The MRI-AST (MAST) score accurately identifies patients with at-risk nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, defined as nonalcoholic steatohepatitis with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score ≥4 and fibrosis stage ≥2 at highest risk for disease progression. It is important to determine the robustness of the MAST score in predicting major adverse liver outcomes (MALO), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver transplant, and death. METHODS: This retrospective analysis included patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease from a tertiary care center who underwent magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction, magnetic resonance elastography, and laboratory testing within 6 months from 2013 to 2022. Other causes of chronic liver disease were excluded. Hazard ratios between logit MAST and MALO (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or bleeding esophageal varices), liver transplant, HCC, or liver-related death were computed using a Cox proportional hazards regression model. We computed the hazard ratio of MALO or death associated with MAST scores 0.165-0.242 and 0.242-1.000, using MAST scores 0.000-0.165 as the reference group. RESULTS: Among 346 total patients, average age was 58.8 years with 52.9% females and 34.4% with type 2 diabetes. Average alanine aminotransferase was 50.7 IU/L (24.3-60.0 IU/L), aspartate aminotransferase was 38.05 IU/L (22.00-41.00 IU/L), platelets were 242.9 × 109/L (193.8-290.0 × 109/L), proton density fat fraction was 12.90% (5.90%-18.22%), and liver stiffness on magnetic resonance elastography was 2.75 kPa (2.07-2.90 kPa). Median follow-up was 29.5 months. Fourteen had adverse outcomes, including 10 MALO, 1 HCC, 1 liver transplant, and 2 liver-related deaths. The Cox regression of MAST versus adverse event rate had a hazard ratio of 2.01 (95% confidence interval, 1.59-2.54; P < .0001) for each 1 logit unit increases in MAST. The corresponding Harrell concordance statistic (C statistic) was 0.919 (95% confidence interval, 0.865-0.953). The MAST score ranges of 0.165-0.242 and 0.242-1.0, respectively, had adverse event rate hazard ratio of 7.75 (1.40-42.9; P = .0189) and 22.11 (6.59-74.2; P < .0000) relative to MAST 0-0.165. CONCLUSIONS: The MAST score noninvasively identifies at-risk nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and accurately predicts MALO, HCC, liver transplant, and liver-related death.

The Application of Dental Fluoride Varnish in Children: A Low Cost, High-Value Implementation Aided by Passive Clinical Decision Support.

BACKGROUND: Fluoride is vital in the prevention of dental caries in children. In 2014, the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force deemed fluoride varnish a recommended preventive service (grade B). Electronic health record-based clinical decision support (CDS) tools have shown variable ability to alter physicians' ordering behaviors. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to increase the application of fluoride varnish in children while analyzing the effect of two passive CDS tools-an order set and a note template. METHODS: Data on outpatient pediatric visits over an 18-month period before and after CDS implementation (October 15, 2020-April 15, 2022) were queried, while trends in application rate of fluoride were examined. We constructed a multiple logistic regression model with a primary outcome of whether a patient received fluoride at his/her visit. The primary predictor was a "phase" variable representing the CDS implemented. Physician interaction with CDS as well as the financial effects of the resulting service use were also examined. RESULTS: There were 3,049 well-child visits of children aged 12 months to 5 years. The addition of a fluoride order to a "Well Child Check" order set led to a 10.6% increase in ordering over physician education alone (25.4 vs. 14.8%, p = 0.001), while the insertion of fluoride-specific text to drop-down lists in clinical notes led to a 6.2% increase (31.5 vs. 25.4%, p = 0.005). Whether a patient received topical fluoride was positively associated with order set implementation (odds ratio [OR] = 5.87, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.20-8.21) and fluoride-specific drop-down lists (OR = 7.81, 95% CI: 5.41-11.28). Female providers were more likely to use order sets when ordering fluoride (56.2 vs. 40.9% for males, p ≤ 0.0001). Added revenue totaled $15,084. CONCLUSION: The targeted use of order sets and note templates was positively associated with the ordering of topical fluoride by physicians.

Personalized Medicine Using Predictive Analytics: A Machine Learning-Based Prognostic Model for Patients Undergoing Hip Arthroscopy.

BACKGROUND: Personalized medicine models to predict outcomes of orthopaedic surgery are scarce. Many have required data that are only available postoperatively, mitigating their usefulness in preoperative decision making. PURPOSE: To establish a method for predictive modeling to enable individualized prognostication and shared decision making based on preoperative patient factors using data from a prospective hip preservation registry. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study (Prognosis); Level of evidence, 2. METHODS: Preoperative data of 2415 patients undergoing hip arthroscopy for femoroacetabular impingement syndrome between February 2008 and November 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. Two machine-learning analyses were evaluated: Tree-structured survival analysis (TSSA) and Cox proportional hazards modeling for predicting time to event and for computing hazard ratios for survivorship after hip arthroscopy. The Fine-Gray model was similarly used for repeat hip arthroscopy. Variables were selected for inclusion using the minimum Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). The stepwise selection was used for the Cox and Fine-Gray models. A web-based calculator was created based on the final models. RESULTS: Prognostic models were successfully created using Cox proportional hazards modeling and Fine-Gray models for survivorship and repeat hip arthroscopy, respectively. The Harrell C-statistics of the Cox model calculators for survivorship after hip arthroscopy and the Fine-Gray model for repeat hip arthroscopy were 0.848 and 0.662, respectively. Using the AIC, 13 preoperative variables were identified as predictors of survivorship, and 6 variables were identified as predictors for repeat hip arthroscopy. In contrast, the TSSA model performed poorly, resulting in a Harrell C-statistic <0.6, rendering it inaccurate and not interpretable. A web-based calculator was created based on these models. CONCLUSION: This study successfully created an institution-specific machine learning-based prognostic model for predictive analytics in patients undergoing hip arthroscopy. Prognostic models to predict survivorship and the need for repeat surgeries were both adapted into web-based tools to assist the physician with shared decision making. This prognostic model may be useful at other institutions after performing external validation. Additionally, this study may serve as proof of concept for a methodology for the development of patient-specific prognostic models. This methodology may be used to create other predictive analytics models in different realms of orthopaedic surgery, contributing to the evolution from evidence-based medicine to personalized medicine.

Best Practice Guidelines for Propensity Score Methods in Medical Research: Consideration on Theory, Implementation, and Reporting. A Review.

Rigorous and reproducible methodology of controlling for bias is essential for high-quality, evidence-based studies. Propensity score matching (PSM) is a valuable way to control for bias and achieve pseudo-randomization in retrospective observation studies. The purpose of this review is to 1) provide a clear conceptual framework for PSM, 2) recommend how to best report its use in studies, and 3) offer some practical examples of implementation. First, this article covers the concepts behind PSM, discusses its pros and cons, and compares it with other methods of controlling for bias, namely, hard/exact matching and regression analysis. Second, recommendations are given for what to report in a manuscript when PSM is used. Finally, a worked example is provided, which can also serve as a template for the reader's own studies. A study's conclusions are only as strong as its methods. PSM is an invaluable tool for producing rigorous and reproducible results in observational studies. The goal of this article is to give practicing clinical physicians not only a better understanding of PSM and its implications but the ability to implement it for their own studies. STUDY DESIGN: Review.

MRI-based (MAST) score accurately identifies patients with NASH and significant fibrosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Among the large population of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), identifying those with fibrotic non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (Fibro-NASH) is a clinical priority, as these patients are at the highest risk of disease progression and will benefit most from pharmacologic treatment. MRI-based proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) and MR elastography (MRE) can risk-stratify patients with NAFLD by assessing steatosis and fibrosis, respectively. We developed a highly specific MRI-based score to identify patients with Fibro-NASH. METHODS: This analysis included derivation (n = 103) and validation (n = 244) cohorts of patients who underwent MRI, liver biopsy, transient elastography, and laboratory testing for NAFLD from 2016-2020 in 2 tertiary care centers. To identify Fibro-NASH, a formula was developed based on MRI-PDFF, MRE, and a third variable with highest balanced accuracy per logistic regression. The MRI-aspartate aminotransferase (MAST) score was created and compared to NAFLD fibrosis (NFS), Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase (FAST) scores. RESULTS: The MAST score demonstrated high performance and discrimination in the validation cohort (AUC 0.93; 95% CI 0.88-0.97). In the validation cohorts, the 90% specificity cut-off of 0.242 corresponded to a sensitivity of 75.0%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 50.0% and negative predictive value (NPV) of 96.5%, whereas the 90% sensitivity cut-off of 0.165 corresponded to a specificity of 72.2%, PPV of 29.4%, and NPV of 98.1%. Compared to NFS and FIB-4, MAST resulted in fewer patients having indeterminate scores and an overall higher AUC. Compared to FAST, MAST exhibited a higher AUC and overall better discrimination. CONCLUSION: The MAST score is an accurate, MRI-serum-based score that outperforms previous scores in non-invasively identifying patients at higher risk of Fibro-NASH. LAY SUMMARY: Identifying patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis and significant fibrosis - who need treatment and are at risk of clinical liver-related outcomes - is a clinical priority. We developed a more accurate score using MRI-based technologies and a laboratory blood test (aspartate aminotransferase) that outperforms previous non-invasive scores for the identification of patients at higher risk of liver disease progression.

Combination Biomarkers for Risk Stratification in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure Biomarkers Prognostication in HF.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend measuring natriuretic peptide biomarkers to establish prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We assessed whether a combination biomarkers approach improve prognostication in patients with stable HFrEF. METHODS AND RESULTS: An observational cohort study recruited 202 patients with stable HFrEF at a single center, tertiary care hospital undergoing elective cardiac resynchronization therapy device placement from 2013 to 2015. Twenty-four biomarkers were analyzed individually and in combination using Cox proportion hazard regression model for major adverse cardiac events (ie, death, cardiac transplant, left ventricular assist device placement), and major adverse cardiac events plus HF hospitalizations. The single best biomarker for predicting major adverse cardiac events is peripheral mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin (C statistic = 0.771 ± 0.045) compared to current guideline recommended N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (C=0.668 ± 0.046). The best combined biomarkers for predicting major adverse cardiac events are blood urea nitrogen, coronary sinus C-reactive protein, peripheral mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide and peripheral soluble IL-1 receptor-like 1 (C = 0.767 ± 0.036). CONCLUSIONS: In this observational cohort, the combined biomarkers (blood urea nitrogen, C-reactive protein, mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide and soluble IL-1 receptor-like 1) or the single biomarker (mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin) was superior to N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide, the current guideline recommended biomarker in predicting cardiovascular outcomes in patients with HFrEF. Larger studies are needed to validate these findings and examine whether single or combined biomarkers improve HFrEF prognostication.

Early pregnancy metabolites predict gestational diabetes mellitus: implications for fetal programming.

BACKGROUND: Aberrant fetal programming in gestational diabetes mellitus seems to increase the risk of obesity, type 2 diabetes, and cardiovascular disease. The inability to accurately identify gestational diabetes mellitus in the first trimester of pregnancy has thwarted ascertaining whether early therapeutic interventions reduce the predisposition to these prevalent medical disorders. OBJECTIVE: A metabolomics study was conducted to determine whether advanced analytical methods could identify accurate predictors of gestational diabetes mellitus in early pregnancy. STUDY DESIGN: This nested observational case-control study was composed of 92 gravidas (46 in the gestational diabetes mellitus group and 46 in the control group) in early pregnancy, who were matched by maternal age, body mass index, and gestational age at urine collection. Gestational diabetes mellitus was diagnosed according to community standards. A comprehensive metabolomics platform measured 626 endogenous metabolites in randomly collected urine. Consensus multivariate criteria or the most important by 1 method identified low-molecular weight metabolites independently associated with gestational diabetes mellitus, and a classification tree selected a subset most predictive of gestational diabetes mellitus. RESULTS: Urine for both groups was collected at a mean gestational age of 12 weeks (range, 6-19 weeks' gestation). Consensus multivariate analysis identified 11 metabolites independently linked to gestational diabetes mellitus. Classification tree analysis selected a 7-metabolite subset that predicted gestational diabetes mellitus with an accuracy of 96.7%, independent of maternal age, body mass index, and time of urine collection. CONCLUSION: Validation of this high-accuracy model by a larger study is now needed to support future studies to determine whether therapeutic interventions in the first trimester of pregnancy for gestational diabetes mellitus reduce short- and long-term morbidity.

Cardiovascular autonomic effects of electronic cigarette use: a systematic review.

PURPOSE: Electronic cigarettes (ECs) are the fastest growing tobacco product in the USA, and ECs, like tobacco cigarettes (TCs), have effects on the cardiovascular autonomic nervous system, with clinical implications. The purpose of this review was to collect and synthesize available studies that have investigated the autonomic cardiovascular effects of EC use in humans. Special attention is paid to the acute and chronic effects of ECs, the relative contributions of the nicotine versus non-nicotine constituents in EC emissions and the relative effects of ECs compared to TCs. METHODS: Using the methodology described in the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) statement, we conducted a literature search of the Ovid PubMed and Embase databases on 6 December 2019 using keywords in titles and abstracts of published literature. Acute (minutes to hours) and chronic (days or longer) changes in heart rate variability (HRV), heart rate (HR) and blood pressure (BP) were used as estimates of cardiovascular autonomic effects. RESULTS: Nineteen studies were included in this systematic review, all of which used earlier generation EC devices. Acute EC vaping increased HR and BP less than acute TC smoking. Nicotine but not non-nicotine constituents in EC aerosol were responsible for the sympathoexcitatory effects. The results of chronic EC vaping studies were consistent with a chronic sympathoexcitatory effect as estimated by HRV, but this did not translate into chronic increases in HR or BP. CONCLUSIONS: Electronic cigarettes are sympathoexcitatory. Cardiac sympathoexcitatory effects are less when vaping using the earlier generation ECs than when smoking TCs. Additional studies of the latest pod-like EC devices, which deliver nicotine similarly to a TC, are necessary.

Outcomes of Catheter Ablation of Ventricular Tachycardia Based on Etiology in Nonischemic Heart Disease: An International Ventricular Tachycardia Ablation Center Collaborative Study.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to characterize ventricular tachycardia (VT) ablation outcomes across nonischemic cardiomyopathy (NICM) etiologies and adjust these outcomes by patient-related comorbidities that could explain differences in arrhythmia recurrence rates. BACKGROUND: Outcomes of catheter ablation of VT in patients with NICM could be related to etiology of NICM. METHODS: Data from 2,075 patients with structural heart disease referred for catheter ablation of VT from 12 international centers was retrospectively analyzed. Patient characteristics and outcomes were noted for the 6 most common NICM etiologies. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to adjust for potential confounders. RESULTS: Of 780 NICM patients (57 ± 14 years of age, 18% women, left ventricular ejection fraction 37 ± 13%), underlying prevalence was 66% for dilated idiopathic cardiomyopathy (DICM), 13% for arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC), 6% for valvular cardiomyopathy, 6% for myocarditis, 4% for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, and 3% for sarcoidosis. One-year freedom from VT was 69%, and freedom from VT, heart transplantation, and death was 62%. On unadjusted competing risk analysis, VT ablation in ARVC demonstrated superior VT-free survival (82%) versus DICM (p ≤ 0.01). Valvular cardiomyopathy had the poorest unadjusted VT-free survival, at 47% (p < 0.01). After adjusting for comorbidities, including age, heart failure severity, ejection fraction, prior ablation, and antiarrhythmic medication use, myocarditis, ARVC, and DICM demonstrated similar outcomes, whereas hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, valvular cardiomyopathy, and sarcoidosis had the highest risk of VT recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: Catheter ablation of VT in NICM is effective. Etiology of NICM is a significant predictor of outcomes, with ARVC, myocarditis, and DICM having similar but superior outcomes to hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, valvular cardiomyopathy, and sarcoidosis, after adjusting for potential covariates.

Peptide Composition of Stroke Causing Emboli Correlate with Serum Markers of Atherosclerosis and Inflammation.

INTRODUCTION: The specific protein composition of stroke-causing emboli is unknown. Because ischemic stroke has a varied etiology, it is possible that the composition of the thrombus from which an embolus originated will have distinctive molecular characteristics reflective of the underlying pathophysiology. We used mass spectrometry to evaluate the protein composition of retrieved emboli from patients with differing stroke etiologies and correlated the protein levels to serum predictors of atherosclerosis. METHODS: Emboli from 20 consecutive acute stroke patients were retrieved by thrombectomy during routine stroke care. Thrombus proteins were extracted, digested, and multidimensional fractionation of peptides was performed. Fractionated peptides underwent nano-liquid chromatography with tandem mass spectrometry. Spectra were searched using Mascot software in which results with p < 0.05 (95% confidence interval) were considered significant and indicating identity. The results were correlated to A1C, low-density lipoprotein (LDL), and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) taken on admission. RESULTS: Eleven patients had atrial fibrillation, four had significant proximal vessel atherosclerosis, two were cryptogenic, and three had other identified stroke risk factors (left ventricular thrombus, dissection, endocarditis). Eighty-one common proteins (e.g., hemoglobin, fibrin, actin) were found in all 20 emboli. Serum LDL levels correlated with Septin-2 (rs = 0.78, p = 0.028), Phosphoglycerate Kinase 1 (rs = 0.75, p = 0.036), Integrin Alpha-M (rs = 0.68, p = 0.033) and Glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (rs = 0.63, p = 0.05). Septin-7 levels inversely correlated to ESR (rs = -0.84, p = 0.01). No significant protein correlations to A1C or tPA use were found. CONCLUSION: Our exploratory study presents mass spectrometry analysis of thrombi retrieved from acute stroke patients and correlates the thrombus proteome to clinical features of the patient. Notably, we found proteins associated with inflammation (e.g., Integrin Alpha-M) in emboli from patients with high LDL. Although these findings are tempered by a small sample size, we provide preliminary support for the feasibility of utilizing proteomic analysis of emboli to discover proteins that may be used as markers for stroke etiology.

Comparison of Three Risk Scores to Predict Outcomes of Severe Lower Gastrointestinal Bleeding.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Improved medical decisions by using a score at the initial patient triage level may lead to improvements in patient management, outcomes, and resource utilization. There is no validated score for management of lower gastrointestinal bleeding (LGIB) unlike for upper gastrointestinal bleeding. The aim of our study was to compare the accuracies of 3 different prognostic scores [Center for Ulcer Research and Education Hemostasis prognosis score, Charlson index, and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score] for the prediction of 30-day rebleeding, surgery, and death in severe LGIB. METHODS: Data on consecutive patients hospitalized with severe gastrointestinal bleeding from January 2006 to October 2011 in our 2 tertiary academic referral centers were prospectively collected. Sensitivities, specificities, accuracies, and area under the receiver operator characteristic curve were computed for 3 scores for predictions of rebleeding, surgery, and mortality at 30 days. RESULTS: Two hundred thirty-five consecutive patients with LGIB were included between 2006 and 2011. Twenty-three percent of patients rebled, 6% had surgery, and 7.7% of patients died. The accuracies of each score never reached 70% for predicting rebleeding or surgery in either. The ASA score had a highest accuracy for predicting mortality within 30 days (83.5%), whereas the Center for Ulcer Research and Education Hemostasis prognosis score and the Charlson index both had accuracies <75% for the prediction of death within 30 days. CONCLUSIONS: ASA score could be useful to predict death within 30 days. However, a new score is still warranted to predict all 30 days outcomes (rebleeding, surgery, and death) in LGIB.

HPV-Positive Oropharyngeal Carcinoma: A Systematic Review of Treatment and Prognosis.

OBJECTIVE: Human papillomavirus-positive (HPV+) head and neck squamous cell carcinoma is increasing in incidence and appears to exhibit improved response to treatment and better survival than that of HPV- head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. The purpose of this systematic review was to examine the current literature regarding treatment and prognosis of HPV+ oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) and identify whether type of treatment (primarily surgery vs primarily radiation) significantly affects survival rates. DATA SOURCES: PubMed and Cochrane Library databases. REVIEW METHODS: A computerized search of the PubMed and Cochrane Library databases was performed to identify English-language articles published between January 1, 2000, and October 21, 2014. Studies were included only if they were prospective or retrospective observational series of OPSCC patients that reported HPV status, treatment regimen, and survival outcomes. Outcomes were determined for HPV+ and HPV- OPSCC patients, with subanalyses according to the type of treatment received. RESULTS: Fifty-six articles were eligible for this review. In the HPV+ analysis, the unadjusted hazard rate ratio (HR) for surgery vs radiation treatment was 1.33 (P = .114). Nine confounders were considered, and HRs were adjusted for each covariate. While HRs were almost all >1 for all covariates, none of the HRs was statistically significant at P < .05. The HR for HPV- OPSCC was higher for radiation than surgery. CONCLUSIONS: HPV+ OPSCC has an improved prognosis and lower rates of adverse events when compared with HPV- OPSCC. HPV- OPSCC had significantly worse outcomes when treated with primary radiation as compared with primary surgery. There was no statistically significant difference in HRs for HPV+ OPSCC with primary radiation vs primary surgery treatment.

Defining clinically relevant cerebral hemorrhage after thrombolytic therapy for stroke: analysis of the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke tissue-type plasminogen activator trials.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Several definitions have been proposed to distinguish clinically relevant from incidental cerebral hemorrhagic transformation after thrombolytic therapy for acute ischemic stroke. We investigated which definition best identifies cerebral hemorrhages that alter long-term functional outcome in the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) tissue-type plasminogen activator (tPA) trials. METHODS: We analyzed 4 candidate hemorrhage definitions for which the NINDS tPA trials public data set had relevant data. For each, we identified tPA-treated patients having that hemorrhage type and compared their actual functional outcomes at 90 days with their predicted outcomes had they not received tPA and not had the hemorrhage. Projected outcomes without tPA were based on a 17-variable prognostic model derived from the NINDS tPA trials placebo group. RESULTS: Among the 312 patients treated with intravenous tPA, 33 (10.6%) experienced any radiological intracerebral hemorrhage <36 hours of treatment, 16 (5.1%) a radiological parenchymal hematoma, 20 (6.4%) a NINDS tPA trials-defined symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage, 12 (3.8%) an European-Australian Cooperative Acute Stroke Study 2 (ECASS2)-defined symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage, and 6 (1.9%) a modified version of the Safe Implementation of Thrombolysis in Stroke Monitoring Study (mSITS-MOST)-defined symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage. The ECASS2 and mSITS-MOST definitions identified the largest hemorrhage-related change in 90-day modified Rankin Scale scores (2.26-0.32=1.94, P=0.0001; 2.81-0.63=2.18, P=0.0002, respectively). These definitions also distinguished the largest hemorrhage-related change in 90-day mortality (64.7%-7.6%=57.1%; P=0.0004 for ECASS2; 68.4%-19.5%=48.9%; P=0.0152 for mSITS-MOST). CONCLUSIONS: The ECASS2 and mSITS-MOST symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage definitions, which combine radiological features and occurrence of substantial early neurological deterioration, best identify tPA hemorrhages that alter final patient outcome.

Abnormal sympathetic nerve activity in women exposed to cigarette smoke: a potential mechanism to explain increased cardiac risk.

In women, cardiac deaths attributable to tobacco exposure have reached the same high levels as men. Normally, sympathetic nerve activity (SNA) fluctuates according to the menstrual phase, but in habitual smokers, SNA levels remain constant. Our purpose is to extend these observations to other groups of women exposed to tobacco smoke and to explore potential mechanisms. We hypothesize that women exposed to secondhand smoke, but not former smokers, have nonfluctuating SNA compared with never smokers, and that impaired baroreflex suppression of SNA, and/or heightened central SNA responses, underlie this nonfluctuating SNA. We also hypothesize that female smokers have impaired nocturnal blood pressure dipping, normally mediated by modulation of SNA. In 49 females (19 never, 12 current, 9 former, 9 passive smokers), SNA was recorded (microneurography) during high- and low-hormone ovarian phases at rest, during pharmacological baroreflex testing, and during the cold pressor test (CPT). Twenty-four hour blood pressure (BP) monitoring was performed. Current and passive smokers, but not former smokers, had a nonfluctuating pattern of SNA, unlike never smokers in whom SNA varied with the menstrual phase. Baroreflex control of SNA was significantly blunted in current smokers, independent of menstrual phase. In passive smokers, SNA response to CPT was markedly increased. Nondipping was unexpectedly high in all groups. SNA does not vary during the menstrual cycle in active and passive smokers, unlike never and former smokers. Baroreflex control of SNA is blunted in current smokers, whereas SNA response to CPT is heightened in passive smokers. Smoking cessation is associated with return of the altered SNA pattern to normal.

Lack of effect of ovarian cycle and oral contraceptives on baroreceptor and nonbaroreceptor control of sympathetic nerve activity in healthy women.

Endogenous and exogenous female hormones regulate sympathetic nerve activity (SNA) in animal models, but their impact in humans is controversial. The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of the ovarian cycle and oral contraceptive pills (OCPs) on SNA. We hypothesized that the effects of endogenous hormones were baroreflex (BR)-mediated and that these cyclical changes in BR control were blunted by OCPs. Furthermore, we hypothesized that the nocturnal fall in blood pressure (BP) ("dipping"), which is sympathetically mediated, also varied with the ovarian cycle. In 23 healthy females (13 OCP users, 10 age-matched, no OCPs), SNA was recorded (microneurography) at rest, during BR activation/deactivation, and cold pressor test (CPT) during low and high hormonal phases. Furthermore, 24-h BP monitoring was performed during low and high hormonal phases. SNA was lower during the low vs. high hormone phase in non-OCP users (17.3 ± 2.4 vs. 25.4 ± 3.2 bursts/min, P < 0.001) but was not different between phases in OCP users [15.5 ± 1.7 vs. 16.6 ± 2.0 bursts/min, P = not significant (NS)]. BR control of SNA was not different during the hormone phases in either group [SNA (total activity/min) mean slope %change from baseline, no OCP users, low vs. high hormone phase 35.4 ± 6.2 vs. 29.6 ± 3.4%, P = NS and OCP users, low vs. high hormone phase 35.7 ± 3.9 vs. 33.5 ± 3.5%, P = NS]. SNA activation during CPT was not impacted by hormonal phase or OCP use. Finally, nondipping was not different between OCP users and nonusers, although there was a trend for nondipping to occur more frequently in the OCP users. SNA varies during the ovarian cycle in women in the absence of OCPs. This modulation cannot be attributed to cyclical changes in the BR sensitivity.

Capsule endoscopy is not as accurate as esophagogastroduodenoscopy in screening cirrhotic patients for varices.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) is the standard technique for screening cirrhotic patients for high-risk varices and other significant upper gastrointestinal lesions (HRVLs). We investigated whether esophageal capsule endoscopy (ECE) is as convenient and accurate as EGD for the detection of HRVLs. METHODS: We analyzed data from 65 cirrhotic patients without prior upper gastrointestinal bleeding who were examined for varices and HRVLs by ECE and EGD (both procedures were performed on the same day). EGD was performed by 2 physicians (75% of patients were unsedated) who used standard grading for esophageal and gastric varices, portal hypertensive gastropathy, and HRVLs. Coded capsule tracings were read by 2 investigators, blinded to the EGD findings, using standard grading. RESULTS: The median procedure time for EGD (with or without biopsy collection) was 3 minutes, compared with 20 minutes for ECE. The overall accuracy for diagnosis of esophageal varices was 63.2% ± 5.9%; for detection of esophageal varices red marks was 68.8% ± 5.4%; and for diagnosis of other HRVLs was 51.5% ± 4.2%. The interobserver agreement in the diagnosis of esophageal varices was 90.8%; in the detection of esophageal varices red marks was 86.2%; and in the diagnosis of other HRVLs was 7.3%. CONCLUSIONS: ECE is not as accurate as EGD in the diagnosis of esophageal varices and red markings or in grading esophageal varices. Moreover, ECE had poor accuracy in grading portal hypertensive gastropathy and detecting ulcers, gastric varices, and other significant upper gastrointestinal lesions. It took significantly longer to perform ECE and interpret the results than for EGD. These findings do not support ECE as a preferred tool for screening esophageal varices and HRVLs.

n-3 fatty acids (fish oil) for epilepsy, cardiac risk factors, and risk of SUDEP: clues from a pilot, double-blind, exploratory study.

OBJECTIVE: The goal of the work described here was to determine the effect of high-dose n-3 fatty acids (eicosapentanoic acid+docosahexanoic acid, fish oil) on several outcomes in subjects with refractory epilepsy, including seizure severity, seizure frequency, cardiac risk factors, and heart rate variability, in a pilot, exploratory planning trial. METHODS: Pilot, randomized, double-blind two-period crossover clinical trial of high-dose fish oil (9600 mg of fish oil/day, 2880 mg of n-3 fatty acids) in 11 subjects with refractory seizures. Outcomes included seizure frequency, seizure severity, lipid panel, and heart rate variability as measured by SDNN and SDANN (defined as the standard deviation of all normal R-R intervals for 1h, and the standard deviation of all R-R intervals in each successive 5-min epoch, respectively). RESULTS: Preliminary data identified trends towards lower seizure severity, lower triglycerides, higher HDL, and increased SDNN/SDANN in those with low SDNN/SDANN at baseline (Spearman's correlation=-0.65, P=0.03). No positive effect on seizure frequency was identified. CONCLUSIONS: Further study of the effect of n-3 fatty acids is indicated in people with epilepsy, as favorable trends were identified on cardiac risk factors (triglycerides) and in a subgroup with low heart rate variability (low SDNN/SDANN), a marker of sudden death risk. To our knowledge, this is the first trial to explore the beneficial effects of n-3 fatty acids on cardiac risk factors and heart rate variability in people with epilepsy.

Risk factors for fractures in older men and women: The Leisure World Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Osteoporosis results in >1.5 million fractures in the United States each year, leading to substantial health care costs and loss of quality of life. One major gap in our knowledge is how to effectively identify individuals at risk of developing a fracture. OBJECTIVE: We examined a population-based cohort for risk factors for fractures of the hip, wrist, and spine in men and women. METHODS: The Leisure World Cohort Study was established between 1981 and 1985 when residents of a southern California retirement community completed a postal health survey. Multiple lifestyle, medical, attitudinal, and anthropomorphic factors were self-reported. Fractures were identified from 4 follow-up surveys, hospital discharge records, and death certificates. Fracture rates were determined separately for men and women. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify predictors of fracture. RESULTS: Incident fractures of the hip (n = 1,227), wrist (n = 445), and spine (n = 729) incurred over the course of 2 decades were identified in the 13,978 residents surveyed. Mean (SD) age at entry was 74.9 (7.2) years for men and 73.7 (7.4) years for women. The most important risk factors for fracture were the same in men and women: age increased risk of hip and spine fractures (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.3-3.2 per 10 years) and history of fracture increased fracture risk at all 3 sites (HR = 1.4-3.2). In both men and women, glaucoma was a significant risk factor for hip fracture (HR = 1.9 and 1.3, respectively), and smoking was a risk factor for hip and spine fractures. Men and women with a positive mental attitude had fewer hip and spine fractures (HR = 0.7-0.9). High body mass index was protective at all 3 fracture sites in women (HR = 0.7-0.8), but those who used vitamin A supplements had increased rates of hip and wrist fracture (HR = 1.1 per 10,000 IU per day). CONCLUSIONS: Attitude, lifestyle choices, and the presence of medical conditions may influence the rate of osteoporotic fracture in older women and men and may help identify individuals at high risk.

Histopathologic characteristics predicting HER-2/neu amplification in breast cancer.

The HER-2/neu gene is a proto-oncogene that is amplified in 10-30% of breast cancers. New drugs for targeted therapy, such as Herceptin, are effective for patients with HER-2/neu-positive tumors, making it necessary to have a noncostly and accurate method to assess HER-2/neu status. We studied the correlation of findings made by fluorescent in situ hybridization (FISH) and immunohistochemistry (IHC) staining and the possibility of combining IHC and other clinicopathologic characteristics of breast tumors to predict FISH-determined HER-2/neu status. The clinicopathologic characteristics analyzed were the size of the tumor, p53, lymph-vascular invasion, estrogen/progesterone receptors (ER/PR), tumor grade, axillary lymph node status, and patient age. A total of 199 cases of invasive breast cancer studied at the UCLA Pathology Laboratory during 2003 were included in this study. Tumors with IHC 0, 1+, 2+, and 3+ scores were found to be FISH positive in 3.5%, 6.4%, 25.7%, and 81.5% of the respective groups. Our study showed a strong association between the FISH-negative and IHC scored 0 and 1+ tumors, suggesting that the FISH test may not be necessary in these cases (p<0.0001). Although the concordance between IHC 3+ and FISH positive is high, 18% of the patients with overexpression of HER-2/neu fail to show gene amplification by FISH. HER-2/neu positivity was found to be proportionally associated with increasing grade in infiltrating ductal carcinoma (p<0.0001). p53-positive tumors are more likely to be HER-2/neu amplified (p=0.0003). Tumors that are negative for ER/PR are also associated with HER-2/neu positivity by FISH (31.15%, p=0.0016). FISH-determined HER-2/neu status is not associated with histologic type, tumor size, nodal status, lymph-vascular invasion, or patient age.